Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#173
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#174
Pace59.3#322
Improvement-1.1#217

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#196
Improvement-0.2#174

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#157
Improvement-1.0#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 301   Army W 87-71 87%     1 - 0 +3.6 -6.9 +7.4
  Nov 12, 2011 281   VMI W 75-65 74%     2 - 0 +3.1 -3.4 +6.6
  Nov 23, 2011 86   Colorado L 73-76 OT 40%     2 - 1 -0.7 +2.3 -3.0
  Dec 03, 2011 130   @ Drake L 60-62 27%     2 - 2 +3.9 -6.2 +10.0
  Dec 07, 2011 214   Wright St. W 55-34 71%     3 - 2 +14.8 -8.5 +26.5
  Dec 10, 2011 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 63-51 92%     4 - 2 -4.4 -12.3 +9.0
  Dec 17, 2011 327   Maryland Eastern Shore W 64-60 92%     5 - 2 -12.2 +0.1 -11.5
  Dec 22, 2011 29   @ Gonzaga L 60-70 9%     5 - 3 +4.5 +9.2 -7.2
  Dec 29, 2011 109   Wagner L 61-72 33%     5 - 4 -6.9 +7.2 -17.0
  Dec 30, 2011 250   Eastern Michigan W 42-37 68%     6 - 4 -0.2 -16.0 +17.2
  Jan 06, 2012 332   Chicago St. W 68-54 94%     7 - 4 -3.8 -10.0 +6.3
  Jan 09, 2012 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 67-50 90%     8 - 4 +2.7 +5.1 +2.0
  Jan 14, 2012 134   @ Boise St. W 74-59 28%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +20.7 +10.3 +11.9
  Jan 18, 2012 75   Wyoming L 53-64 36%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -7.7 -6.6 -2.9
  Jan 21, 2012 46   @ San Diego St. L 44-57 12%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -0.9 -15.2 +12.3
  Jan 25, 2012 143   @ TCU L 56-59 30%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +2.1 -2.6 +4.0
  Jan 28, 2012 26   UNLV L 63-65 OT 21%     9 - 8 1 - 4 +6.2 -4.9 +11.0
  Jan 31, 2012 14   New Mexico L 42-81 15%     9 - 9 1 - 5 -28.5 -22.3 -7.7
  Feb 04, 2012 72   @ Colorado St. L 49-67 16%     9 - 10 1 - 6 -7.8 -19.6 +10.6
  Feb 11, 2012 134   Boise St. L 61-72 53%     9 - 11 1 - 7 -12.1 -12.1 -0.1
  Feb 15, 2012 75   @ Wyoming W 58-53 16%     10 - 11 2 - 7 +15.1 +2.7 +13.1
  Feb 18, 2012 46   San Diego St. W 58-56 29%     11 - 11 3 - 7 +7.3 -4.5 +12.1
  Feb 22, 2012 143   TCU L 62-65 55%     11 - 12 3 - 8 -4.7 -5.4 +0.2
  Feb 25, 2012 26   @ UNLV L 58-68 8%     11 - 13 3 - 9 +5.0 -8.3 +13.6
  Feb 29, 2012 14   @ New Mexico L 56-86 6%     11 - 14 3 - 10 -12.7 -4.9 -8.6
  Mar 03, 2012 72   Colorado St. L 65-75 36%     11 - 15 3 - 11 -6.6 +4.3 -13.1
  Mar 08, 2012 14   New Mexico L 64-79 10%     11 - 16 -1.1 +5.1 -7.4
Projected Record 11.0 - 16.0 3.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11 100.0% 100.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%